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Mathematical models
Will one day the Muslim population surpass the Hindus in population? The reactions go on these days of parliamentary elections in the length and breadth of the country.
According to the two recent mathematical models, it was claimed that such a situation would not happen even after a thousand years.
These models are the polynomial growth model, according to which, the Hindu population was 30.36 crore in 1951, which is estimated to increase to 115.9 crore in 2021.
At the same time, in the year 1951, the Muslim population was 3.58 crores, which was estimated to be 21.3 crores by 2021.
Statistics are like good servants, but they can also be bad bosses.
In the year 2001, the Hindu population was 80.5 per cent, which declined to 79.8℅ in 2011.
It shows a 0.7 per cent decline was seen in the Hindu population in the last 10 years.
At the same time, the Muslim population, which was 13.4℅ in 2001, increased by 0.8℅ to 14.2℅ in 2011.
Whereas, in reality, there has reportedly been a continuous decline in the birth rate of the Muslim community since the 1980s.
The decadal population growth rate of Hindus was 20 per cent between 1991 and 2001, which declined by 3.2 per cent to 16.8 per cent between 2001 and 2011.
At the same time, the decadal population growth rate of Muslims between 1991 and 2001 was 29.3 per cent, which decreased by 4.7 per cent to 24.6 per cent between 2001 to 2011.
That hints, that in the last two decades, the population growth rate of Muslims has decreased more than that of Hindus.
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